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By Brandon Rakszawski
Director of Product Management

Investors Back at the International Equity Table

For much of the last fifteen years, many U.S. investors have largely ignored equity investment opportunities outside of the U.S., gravitating to their home country bias through U.S.-focused equity funds. This trend is understandable. The MSCI ACWI ex-USA Index has lagged the S&P 500 Index by over 7% annually for the last 15 years through February 2023 (2.31% vs. 9.76%, respectively).

This year, signs of a reversal are apparent. Investors removed $28.8 billion from U.S.-focused equity mutual funds and ETFs through the first two months of 2023 while international-focused equity funds welcomed $16.8B of new investment, according to Morningstar. With many risks in the market, whether this trend will persist remains to be seen, but multiple forces are positive for international companies: a weakening dollar and expectations for a sideways and volatile U.S. equity market for the foreseeable future, among others.

Through March 22, 2023, the MSCI ACWI ex-USA Index has posted a slightly better year-to-date return than the S&P 500 Index (3.62% vs. 2.96%, respective). With more investors looking outside of the U.S. in this period of uncertainty, a more selective approach may be prudent.

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Reversal of Fortunes for International Companies

As of 2/28/2023

Reversal of Fortunes for International Companies

Source: Morningstar. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and are not securities in which an investment can be made.

Quality International Companies for any Market

There has been a focus on quality companies across the board as investors have navigated inflation, rate hikes, and now a banking crisis. But there is little consensus on what makes for a quality company. For more than 20 years, Morningstar has honed their framework to identify those highly-desirable companies that have built competitive advantages that can last. Moat-rated companies can tend to survive fads in the market, new competitive pressure and are often better suited to weather market stress.

Looking outside the U.S., the Morningstar Global ex-US Moat Focus Index (“International Moat Index”) has separated itself from the international markets in recent periods. It reflects the ethos of Morningstar’s broader moat investing philosophy: invest in quality moat-rated companies that are also trading at attractive prices. This approach has yielded impressive results.

International Moat Index vs. International Market

As of 3/22/2023

International Moat Index vs. International Market

Source: Morningstar. Index performance is not illustrative of Fund performance. Fund performance current to the most recent month end is available by visiting vaneck.com or by calling 800.826.2333. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and are not securities in which an investment can be made.

Dollar Reversal Benefitted International Companies

One catalyst driving international stock performance has been the reversal of the U.S. dollar. After its peak on September 27, 2022, international stocks have outpaced U.S. stocks and the International Moat Index has impressed to the upside.

International Moats Outpacing U.S. and Broad International Stocks

International Moats Outpacing U.S. and Broad International Stocks

Source: Morningstar. 9/27/2023 – 3/22/2023. Index performance is not illustrative of Fund performance. Fund performance current to the most recent month end is available by visiting vaneck.com or by calling 800.826.2333. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indexes are unmanaged and are not securities in which an investment can be made.

Differentiated International Exposure

The International Moat Index’s exposure is often quite differentiated from broad international equity market indexes. This is driven by two factors: Morningstar’s equity research coverage universe and its index selection methodology.

In order to qualify for the International Moat Index, a company must be covered by Morningstar’s equity research team. While its coverage has evolved and Morningstar has increased research capabilities over time, there are several structural overweights and underweights driven by this coverage. For example, Japan is relatively under covered by Morningstar, reducing the number of eligible companies from Japan.

Equally as influential is the International Moat Index’s selection methodology, which is driven in large part by valuations. The index will select attractively priced companies each quarter on a pre-determined schedule, which drives much of the shifts in the index each quarter. The result of the March 2023 index review can be viewed here.

International Moat Index: Relative Regional Exposure

As of 3/22/2023

International Moat Index: Relative Regional Exposure

International Moat Index: Relative Sector Exposure

As of 3/22/2023

International Moat Index: Relative Sector Exposure

Source: Morningstar. For illustrative purposes only. Relative weights reflects the difference between the International Moat Index weight and MSCI ACWI ex-USA Index.

VanEck Morningstar International Moat ETF (MOTI) seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses the price and yield performance of the Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM.

To receive more Moat Investing insights, sign up in our subscription center.

Originally published 29 March 2023. 

For more news, information, and analysis, visit the ETF Strategist Channel


DISCLOSURES

This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities/financial instruments mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are valid as of the date of this communication and subject to change without notice. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of third party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck or its employees.

An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Returns reflect past performance and do not guarantee future results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains, if any. Certain indices may take into account withholding taxes. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. The Index does not charge management fees or brokerage expenses, nor does the Index lend securities, and no revenues from securities lending were added to the performance shown.

The Fund may become “non-diversified” as defined under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, solely as a result of a change in relative market capitalization or index weighting of one or more constituents of the Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM. This means that the Fund may invest a greater percentage of its assets in a limited number of issuers than would be the case if the Fund were always managed as a diversified management investment company. The Fund intends to be diversified in approximately the same proportion as the Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM. Shareholder approval will not be sought when the Fund crosses from diversified to non-diversified status due solely to a change in the relative market capitalization or index weighting of one or more constituents of the Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM.

The Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM was created and is maintained by Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar, Inc. does not sponsor, endorse, issue, sell, or promote the VanEck Morningstar International Moat ETF and bears no liability with respect to that ETF or any security. Morningstar® is a registered trademark of Morningstar, Inc. Morningstar® Global ex-US Moat Focus IndexSM is a service mark of Morningstar, Inc.

An investment in the Fund may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in equity securities, communication services sector, consumer discretionary sector, financials sector, information technology sector, health care sector, medium-capitalization companies, foreign securities, foreign currency, emerging market issuers, special risk considerations of investing in Asian, Chinese, European and United Kingdom issuers, depositary receipts, cash transactions, market, operational, high portfolio turnover, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversification and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks.

The MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) ex USA Index captures large and mid-cap representation across 22 of 23 developed markets countries (excluding the U.S.) and 24 emerging markets countries.

The MSCI ACWI ex USA Value Index captures value oriented large and mid-cap representation across 22 of 23 developed markets countries (excluding the U.S.) and 24 emerging markets countries.

The MSCI ACWI ex USA Growth Index captures growth oriented large and mid-cap representation across 22 of 23 developed markets countries (excluding the U.S.) and 24 emerging markets countries.

The S&P 500® Index consists of 500 widely held common stocks covering industrial, utility, financial and transportation sector; as an Index, it is unmanaged and is not a security in which investments can be made.

The S&P 500® Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates and has been licensed for use by Van Eck Associates Corporation. Copyright © 2023 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global, Inc., and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. For more information on any of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC’s indices please visit S&P® is a registered trademark of S&P Global and Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. Neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, their affiliates nor their third party licensors make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the ability of any index to accurately represent the asset class or market sector that it purports to represent and neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, their affiliates nor their third party licensors shall have any liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index or the data included therein.

Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider a Fund’s investment objective, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus for VanEck Funds and VanEck ETFs, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus for VanEck Funds and VanEck ETFs carefully before investing.

©️ Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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